DNB

Draw No Bet

Insurance on the draw, priced between 1X2 and Double Chance

Today's highest-confidence fixtures

Top 3 matches where our ensemble has the highest overall confidence - the best candidates for Draw No Bet value plays.

What is Draw No Bet?

Draw No Bet (DNB) refunds your stake if the match ends in a draw. You pick either home or away; if that team wins you collect the payout, if they lose you lose your stake, and if the match is drawn you get your money back. The price sits structurally between raw 1X2 and Double Chance. If the home team is priced at 2.00 to win and X at 3.40, DNB Home typically prices around 1.55 - slightly lower than 1X (1.30) but meaningfully higher than the raw 1 price (2.00). Mathematically, DNB Home = 1 / (P(home) / (1 − P(draw))). It's a conditional bet: you're paid as if the draw never existed. The market is most useful when you have conviction on which side is better but can't rule out a cagey 0-0 or 1-1 - common in knockout ties, title-deciding matches, and fixtures involving defensively organised mid-table sides.

Draw No Bet strategy

DNB shines in two specific situations. First, knockout matches where the losing side might shut up shop for extra time or penalties - books price the 90-minute draw correctly, but public sentiment on the raw 1 or 2 market is usually wrong about how often cagey football actually delivers a winner. Second, mid-table domestic fixtures where the favourite is a defensively suspect attacking side (Leverkusen, Atalanta, Brighton). If you think they'll create chances and win but worry about a 1-1 on a bad xG night, DNB is safer than 1X (which also collects when the draw happens) and cheaper than a straight 1 bet. Avoid DNB in matches where the draw is the real model favourite - you're paying a premium for insurance on an outcome you couldn't predict anyway. Check the 1X2 confidence first: if the home win probability is below 40%, the draw insurance is not cheap enough.

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Draw No Bet FAQ

Everything the market asks about how this bet type works.

What happens to my DNB bet if the match is a draw?
Your stake is refunded in full. You neither win nor lose - the bet is voided and your money goes back to your account. This is the 'insurance' that differentiates DNB from a straight 1X2 bet.
How is DNB pricing calculated?
DNB Home = 1 / (P(home win) / (1 − P(draw))). In words: take the home-win probability, divide by the non-draw mass, and invert. Books add their margin on top. For a match with P(home) = 50%, P(draw) = 25%, fair DNB Home is 1 / (0.50 / 0.75) = 1.50.
Is DNB the same as the Asian Handicap 0 line?
Yes - AH 0 and DNB settle identically. Asian bookmakers often offer slightly better margins on AH 0 because of tighter competition in Asian markets, so if you're comfortable with handicap terminology it's worth price-comparing both.
When is DNB worse than Double Chance?
When you want to collect on the draw itself. DC 1X pays you if the draw happens; DNB refunds only. If your edge is coming from the draw being underpriced (which happens in Serie A and La Liga), DC is the sharper play.
When is DNB better than a raw 1X2 bet?
When the favourite's price is short enough that a single unlucky draw wipes out your run. If you like the home team at 1.90 but the league draw rate is 25%, DNB Home at 1.55 has a 62% hit rate vs the 1.90 price at 50% - a smoother equity curve with only modestly lower expected return.
Does BetsPlug surface DNB-specific probabilities?
Not as a direct number yet. You can derive it from the raw 1X2 triple our model exposes to members. DNB-specific odds on every upcoming match are on the roadmap alongside Asian handicap and over/under surfaces.
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Both Teams To ScoreOver 2.5 GoalsDouble Chance